future. The future in the Carbon Cap Scenario has higher electricity prices, reduced driving, more renewable capacity, and … designed two futures that differ significantly from the basic NEMS forecast. A High Fuel Price Scenario and a Carbon Cap … created six scenarios for FE in early 2005. The creation and implementation of the EE-FE scenarios are explained in this …

, and prices for publication in February, May, August, and November in the Short-Term Energy Outlook (Outlook). An annual … supplement analyzes previous estimate errors, compares recent scenarios with those of other forecasting services, and discusses …

and unpredictable fuel prices, should be truly worth more than an equivalent kWh from an alternative fossil fuel fired … technology. Indeed, analysts have attempted to measure this value by comparing the prices observed in fixed-price natural gas … contracts compared to ones in which buyers are exposed to market prices (see Bolinger, Wiser, and Golove and (2004)). In …

a record $93 per barrel. With higher oil prices, growing demand for gasoline, and increasing oil imports, an average of …

This paper evaluates the accuracy of two methods to forecast natural gas prices: using the Energy Information ….S. Wellhead natural gas price. These results suggest that agencies forecasting natural gas prices should consider incorporating … statistical analysis is performed to determine the relative accuracy of the two measures in the recent past. A statistical …

logic of the industrial sector module, along with results from several simulation exercises to demonstrate the behavior of …

logic of the industrial sector module, along with results from several simulation exercises to demonstrate the behavior of …

Heightened natural gas prices have emerged as a key energy-policy challenge for at least the early part of the 21st … century. With the recent run-up in gas prices and the expected continuation of volatile and high prices in the near future, a … downward pressure on gas prices. Many recent modeling studies of increased RE and EE deployment have demonstrated that this …