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Economic value calculations are increasingly used to compare the predictive performance of competing models of asset returns. However, they lack a rigorous way to validate their evidence. This paper proposes a new methodology to test whether utility gains accruing to investors using competing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010592581
We examine the forecasting performance of a range of time-series models of the daily US effective federal funds (FF … satisfactory one-day-ahead forecasts of the FF rate; (ii) the best forecasting model is a simple univariate model where the future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707755