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Using forecasts of exchange rates of the Brazilian real and the Mexican peso against the US dollar, we analyze the symmetry of the loss function of exchange-rate forecasters and the rationality of their forecasts. Symmetry of the loss function can be rejected for some forecasters but not all....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117251
Using forecasts of the Brazilian real and the Mexican peso, we analyze the shape of the loss function of exchange-rate forecasters and the rationality of their forecasts. We find a substantial degree of cross-sectional heterogeneity with respect to the shape of the loss function. While some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650308
Based on the approach advanced by Elliott et al. (Rev. Ec. Studies. 72, 1197-1125,2005), we analyzed whether the loss function of a sample of exchange rate forecasters is asymmetric in the forecast error. Using forecasts of the euro/dollar exchange rate, we found that the shape of the loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650309
We apply an approach recently developed by Elliott et al. (Rev. Ec. Studies. 72, 1197-1125, 2005) to study whether forecasts of the dollar/British pound exchange rate extracted from a panel of survey data are consistent with an asymmetric loss function. We find that only few forecasters seem to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278661
Based on the approach advanced by Elliott et al. (Rev. Ec. Studies. 72, 1197-1125,2005), we analyzed whether the loss function of a sample of exchange rate forecasters is asymmetric in the forecast error. Using forecasts of the euro/dollar exchange rate, we found that the shape of the loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420846
Using forecasts of the Brazilian real and the Mexican peso, we analyze the shape of the loss function of exchange-rate forecasters and the rationality of their forecasts. We find a substantial degree of cross-sectional heterogeneity with respect to the shape of the loss function. While some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420853
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419815
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503510
Based on the approach advanced by Elliott et al. (Rev. Ec. Studies. 72, 1197..1125, 2005), we analyzed whether the loss function of a sample of exchange rate forecasters is asymmetric in the forecast error. Using forecasts of the euro/dollar exchange rate, we found that the shape of the loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425217
Using forecasts of the Brazilian real and the Mexican peso, we analyze the shape of the loss function of exchange-rate forecasters and the rationality of their forecasts. We find a substantial degree of cross-sectional heterogeneity with respect to the shape of the loss function. While some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425218