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energy consumption bysector. Energy prices were predicted with very low accuracy and errors reach 250%.Almost all parameters … suffer from systemic errors and were consistently overestimated or underestimated. I also determined numerical estimates for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459147
the CGMY distributions fit the financial market data muchbetter than the normal distribution. Calibration shows that at … highly sensitive tothe dependence structure between underlying assets, and neglecting tail dependence willlead to errors in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442040
ENGLISH ABSTRACT: This research report investigated whether evidence of volatility clustering exists on the FTSE/JSE Top 40 Index. The presence of volatility clustering has practical implications relating to market decisions as well as the accurate measurement and reliable forecasting of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442059
This study aims to investigate whether the phenomena found by Shnoll et al. when applying histogrampattern analysis techniques to stochastic processes from chemistry and physics are also present infinancial time series, particularly exchange rate and index data. The phenomena are related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442100
.The distribution of the interest rates implied by some of these models is also foundunder various measures. The calibration of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442156
We consider the problem of model assessment by risk estimation. Variousapproaches to risk estimation are considered in a uni ed framework. This a discussion of various complexity dimensions and approaches to obtainingbounds on covering numbers is also presented.The second type of training sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442231
question, however, is about what a market distribution (efficient or otherwise) actually gets us beyond the maximization of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009468249
In this dissertation we present mathematical models that help answer health policy questions relating to HIV and Hepatitis C (HCV), and analyze bias in Markov models of disease progression. We begin by developing a Markov decision process model that examines the timing of testing and treatment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475891
than some good enough critical level of performance. In some cases, one can use IGDT to identify a preferable design option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475956
The use of computer modeling is fast increasing in almost everyscientific, engineering and business arena. This dissertationinvestigates some challenging issues in design, modeling andanalysis of computer experiments, which will consist of four majorparts. In the first part, a new approach is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476038