Showing 1 - 10 of 38,446
judging the quality of a model. This paper suggests a formal statistical procedure for the validation of mathematical models … of physical systems when data taken during operation of the physical system are available. The statistical validation … of system behavior. The approach to model validation developed in this study uses experimental data to estimate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436406
contexts, but success and acceptance require a convincing model validation. In general, model validation is understood to be a … comparison. This paper gives a statistical framework for the problem of model validation that is quite analogous to calibration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436659
The increasing use of results from probabilistic risk assessments in the decision-making process makes it ever more important to eliminate simplifications in probabilistic models that might lead to conservative results. One area in which conservative simplifications are often made is modeling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435480
probability of individual component failure is sometimes interpreted as the percentage of components likely to fail, this … multiplying by the probability of individual component failure. However, more complicated cost models require a break down of how … many components are likely to fail. This break down enables the calculation of costs associated with various probability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435781
Structural dynamic testing is concerned with estimation of system properties, including frequency response functions and modal characteristics. These properties are derived from tests on the structure of interest, during which excitations and responses are measured and Fourier techniques are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437088
Emergency managers have come to recognize that there is a quintessential style of emergency response procedure development that must be guarded against. This style allows the definition of objectives to be decided upon apart from the problems posed by their implementation, and then permits the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437224
This paper constructs new indicators of liquidity for equity, bond and money markets in major advanced and emerging market countries, documents their evolution and comovements, and assesses the extent to which such measures are determinants of selected spreads and proxy measures of countries'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826494
Economic outcomes in Jamaica have fallen short of the authorities’ objectives in recent years. As the government looks to reinvigorate its growth and debt reduction strategy, it is instructive to examine how exogenous shocks and other unanticipated developments can affect economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245592
A previous report explored and discussed statistical methods and procedures that may be applied to validate the survivability of a complex system of systems that cannot be tested as an entity. It described a methodology where Monte Carlo simulation was used to develop the system survivability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435451
(in the absence of threatened violation detection). Blue's uncertainty is modeled as a probability distribution over three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436809