uncertainty. The significant innovation of this framework is that it allows for the allocation of a probability mass to sets or … intervals. Dempster-Shafer theory does not require an assumption regarding the probability of the individual constituents of the …

resorting to large sample sizes. A promising altemative to these methods is the fast probability integration (FPI) methods … driving the top event frequency response in extreme probability regions. In this paper, FPI methods are adapted a) to …

for managing the risks from cyber attack. Risk is defined as the probability of a successful attack times the value of the …

characterization of both population and individual risk. Finally, a simple form of discrete probability calculus is proposed as an …

redundancy and diversity of equipment in an effort to lower the probability of failure and therefore risk. However, it has long …

) that achieves the lowest total project cost for a given probability of success while meeting technical performance and … not just individual risks. The efficient RRA set is determined based on ''Outcome Cost Vs Probability of Success''. The … risks and RRAs are characterized using scenarios, decision trees, and cumulative probability distributions. The analysis …

certain probability distribution function (PDF). Upon many realizations of the model, one can get reliable information about …

(in the absence of threatened violation detection). Blue's uncertainty is modeled as a probability distribution over three …