crude oil spot and futures prices. The use of grains for the creation of bio-fuels has sparked fears that these demands are … inflating food prices. We analyse approximately 10 years of daily spot and futures prices for corn, wheat, sugar ethanol and oil … prices from Datastream for the period 19 July 2006 to 2 July 2015. The analysis, featuring Engle-Granger pairwise …

The paper develops a novel realized matrix-exponential stochastic volatility model of multivariate returns and realized …. The volatility and co-volatility spillovers are examined via the news impact curves and the impulse response functions … from returns to volatility and co-volatility. …

In the class of univariate conditional volatility models, the three most popular are the generalized autoregressive … effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative effects of equal magnitude, and possibly also leverage, which is … the negative correlation between returns shocks and subsequent shocks to volatility (see Black 1979). McAleer (2014 …

obtained from discrete time models by comparing them with high-frequency ex post estimates (e.g. realised volatility) based on … illustration provides an example of where an explanatory model outperforms realised volatility ex post. -- Financial variability … ; financial volatility ; forecasting ; explanatory modelling ; exchange rates …