Showing 1 - 10 of 25
This paper investigates the impact of the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy on both the accuracy of probabilistic forecasts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258520
This paper investigates the impact of the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy on both the accuracy of probabilistic forecasts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259566
The experience accumulated from the development and production of a flash estimate of GDP as an official statistic at Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) is presented and discussed. This experience could inform national statistical organisations operating under similar statistical production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108180
A short article which motivates the use of a fan chart in the communication of forecasts, with special emphasis on … inflation forecasts. A fan chart for Maltese HICP inflation projections is built, using the history of forecast errors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111666
influence tourism demand in this region, as well as accurate forecasts, can assist policy makers in their planning efforts and … Bahamas, while the cost of travel is generally insignificant. To further assess model reliability, forecasts of the ECMs are … forecasts, their performances are not superior to those provided by random walk benchmarks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114172
This study seeks to generate the forecasts for the small scale industrial sector of West Bengal for the ensuing decade … till 2019-20. Forecasts have been generated for production, direct employment, capital formation and number of units in … this period indicating low possibility of absorption of labor force in this sector. In the light of the forecasts, it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805899
’s launch in January 1999. In summary, the results show that the SPF responses are quite timely and that the forecasts are based … is thus very important to consider the heterogeneity of the SPF forecasts when analysing and interpreting the results of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636478
how accurate these forecasts were from 2000 to 2006. Most of the forecasts have similar accuracy where the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008555444
This paper presents results illustrating a close relationship between economic and technical errors in receipts projections made by the OMB and the CBO. The specific source appears to be the relationship between economic and technical errors for personal income tax receipts. Receipts projections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008552818
, forecasting the credit trend has become a subject of interest in the context of the present financial and economic conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037748