Bruttel, Oliver - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 93 (2013) 6, pp. 390-395
Established economic forecasts are generally based on complex econometric models which include a wide array of input …-called “New Year’s question” or the forecasts derived from the results bear a strong resemblance to the actual economic trends in … Germany – and in part correlate even more closely with the actual economic growth rate than the forecasts published by the …