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Monthly US business cycle indicators : a new multivariate approach based on a band-pass filter

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How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?

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Interpreting estimates of forecast bias

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The indicators' inadequacy and the predictions' accuracy

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Real-time consideration of systematic patterns in Maltese GDP data and revisions

Debono, Nathaniel - 2024

paper show that the real-time consideration of these forecasts has the potential to improve the precision with which past … forecasts is also aptly demonstrated through the use of simulation techniques, density functions, and event probability … forecasts. …

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