We use a large-scale representative survey of households from October 19-21 that elicits respondents' expectations … about the presidential election's outcome as well as their economic expectations to document several new facts. First …, people disagree strongly about the likely outcome of the election, despite widespread publicly available polling information …

Using a new survey of firms' inflation expectations in France, we provide novel evidence about the measurement and … formation of inflation expectations on the part of firms. First, French firms report inflation expectations with a smaller, but … the wording of questions matters for the measurement of firms' inflation expectations. Third, we document whether and how …

Introducing a new survey of U.S. firms' inflation expectations, we document key stylized facts involving what U ….S. firms know and expect about inflation and monetary policy. The resulting time series of firms' inflation expectations … "anchored" expectations, the inflation expectations of U.S. managers appear far from anchored, much like those of households …

We study how firms' expectations and actions are affected by both aggregate and industryspecific conditions using a … have no aggregate effects, firms' aggregate expectations respond persistently. This is consistent with "island" models in …. Finally, we extend the analysis to firms' expectations of their own future price changes and document how these respond to …

Using a new survey of firms' inflation expectations in France, we provide novel evidence about the measurement and … formation of inflation expectations on the part of firms. First, French firms report inflation expectations with a smaller, but … the wording of questions matters for the measurement of firms' inflation expectations. Third, we document whether and how …