We develop a new parametric bootstrap-based statistical test for presence of futures price and options-based implied volatility biases. The new test is applicable to data with overlapping prediction horizons. Information on anticipated volatility embedded in options prices is explicitly used...

For many environmental problems, economics adaptation will likely be the primary means by which potential damages are avoided. How and by how much humans adapt to environmental risks, therefore, is a question of paramount importance. This paper uses a novel dataset documenting the introduction...

Rich empirical literature has investigated the price transmission among spatially separated and vertically linked markets. In this study, we fill a gap in the price transmission literature by investigating extreme dependence that allows varying general dependence structure between extreme and...

2014 AAEA annual meeting poster presentation

The recent priority given to Federal Crop Insurance as an agricultural policy instrument has increased the importance of rate making procedures. Actuarial soundness requires rates that are actuarially fair: the premium is set equal to expected loss. Formation of this expectation depends, in the...

Futures markets provide an important outlet for commercial traders to hedge their price risk; in turn, hedgers‟ connections to the physical market provide a foundation of market fundamentals to the futures markets. Participation by hedgers in the futures markets is important for both entities,...

Viele Untersuchungen zur Quantifizierung der individuellen Risikoeinstellung von Probanden zeigen, dass verschiedene Methoden zur Messung der Risikoeinstellung zu unterschiedlichen Ergebnissen führen können. Zusätzliche Zweifel bezüglich der Zuverlässigkeit der Ergebnisse resultieren...

Agriculture has always been exposed to a wide spectrum of risks. But it is largely undisputed that farmers have faced growing risks in recent years. More volatile agricultural and input prices, climate change, ongoing discussions about the future of the Common Agricultural Policy, increasing...