Showing 1 - 10 of 93
parameter uncertainty without learning. Current beliefs about damages and abatement costs have an important effect on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010537411
The uncertainty of future economic development affects the term structure of discount rates and, thus, the … structure to incorporate uncertainty and the U.S. is considering a similar step. A series of publications discusses the … different channels through which risk affects evaluation, and have the same qualitative effect of making long-term payoffs more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010539114
We analyze the impact of damage uncertainty on optimal mitigation policies in the integrated assessment of climate … deriving optimal policy rules under persistent uncertainty. For this purpose,we construct a close relative of the DICE model in … a recursive dynamic programming framework. Our recursive approach allows us to disentangle effects of risk, risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009493686
The paper introduces a new notion of risk aversion that is independent of the good under observation and its measure … consumption paths and the von Neumann & Morgenstern (1944) assumptions. In the one-commodity special case, the new notion of risk … aversion closely relates to a disentanglement of standard risk aversion and intertemporal substitutability. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646057
The paper analyzes the discount rate under uncertainty. The analysis complements the probabilistic characterization of … uncertainty by a measure of confidence. Special cases of the model comprise discounting under smooth ambiguity aversion as well as … discounting under a disentanglement of risk aversion from aversion to intertemporal substitution. The paper characterizes the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646069
respect to non-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic social discount …Uncertainty has an almost negligible impact on project value in the economicstandard model. I show that a comprehensive … evaluation of uncertainty and uncertainty attitude changes this picture fundamentally. The analysis relies on the discount rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646074
We model optimal policy when the probability of a tipping point, the welfare change due to a tipping point, and knowledge about a tipping point's trigger all depend on the policy path. Analytic results demonstrate how optimal policy depends on the ability to affect both the probability of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646075
resulting representation uses only basic tools from risk analysis, but employs them recursively. The paper extends the concept … framework permits a threefold disentanglement of intertemporal substitutability, Arrow-Pratt risk aversion, and smooth ambiguity … his confidence in the uncertainty assessment of a particular setting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646078
The uncertainty of future economic development affects the term structure of discount rates and, thus, the … to incorporate uncertainty and the U.S. is consideringa similar step. A series of publications discusses the following … channels through which risk affects evaluation, and have the samequalitative effect of making long-term payoffs more attractive. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010676459
The paper analyzes the discount rate under uncertainty. The analysis complements the probabilistic characterization of … uncertainty by a measure of confidence. Special cases of the model comprise discounting under smooth ambiguity aversion as well as … discounting under a disentanglement of risk aversion from aversion to intertemporal substitution. The paper characterizes the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010676464