In this paper, we study the fit and the predictive performance of the Phillips curve for euro area inflation with … regard to different inflation series, time periods and predictor variables, notably different global factors. We compare the … prices, global consumer inflation, global economic slack and foreign demand. We find that traditional global indicators such …

This paper aims at evaluating the impact of globalization, if any, on inflation and the inflation process. We estimate … commodity import price inflation on CPI inflation depends on the volume of commodity imports while the impact of non …-commodity import price inflation is independent of the volume of non-commodity imports. Second, focusing on the role of intra …

The decline in the sensitivity of inflation to domestic slack observed in developed countries over the last 25 years … also the bigger ones) enter the export market. They tend to transmit less marginal cost fluctuations into inflation because … the proportion of large firms reduces the pass-through of marginal cost into inflation …

The decline in the sensitivity of inflation to domestic slack observed in developed countries over the last 25 years … also the bigger ones) enter the export market. They tend to transmit less marginal cost fluctuations into inflation because … the proportion of large firms reduces the pass-through of marginal cost into inflation …

tolerance range policies, characterized by a stronger reaction of the centralbank to inflation when inflation lies outside the … strong reaction, when inflation is far fromthe target, is required to compensate a moderately lower reaction within tolerance …

In order to provide short run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for France, we assess the forecasting …. Moreover, we show that it is possible to use forecasts on this indicator to project overall inflation …

In order to provide medium run forecasts of headline and core HICP inflation for the euro area, we assess the … indicators help improve upon the simple Autoregressive (AR) model for forecasting HICP core inflation as well total inflation, if … in inflation in a timely manner. But, from that point of view, the construction of a ''synthetic core'' indicator helps …

the interaction between partial indexation and trend inflation. We show that using a hybrid version of the Phillips curve … partly decreases the risks of overestimate due to the omission of trend inflation. We also provide new evidence on the fit of …) forgetting trend inflation induces overestimating by approximately 3-4 percent of the probability to not change the price, for …