Showing 1 - 10 of 233
This paper adopts a VAR-GARCH approach to model the dynamic linkages between both the mean and the variance of macro … Gold and Silver. Volatility spillovers are bigger in size and affect most commodity returns. Both firstand second moment … financial assets, are sensitive to macro news (especially their volatility), and also suggest that the global financial crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346863
and equities by using the VAR-DCC-GARCH model. Specifically, by accounting for the systematic patterns of commodity price … volatility, namely, seasonality and maturity effects for the pre-financialisation (1993-2003) and post-financialisation (2004 … futures' volatility before the financialisation period, open interest as a measure of liquidity has a negative effect after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599014
This paper analyses the informational efficiency of the WTI crude oil markets using a recently proposed quantitative measure for market inefficiency. The procedure measures the extent to which observed oil price behaviour deviates from the Random Walk benchmark which represents an efficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490913
We analyze (frequency) connectedness and portfolio hedging among U.S. energy commodities from 1997 to 2023. We show that the total connectedness increased over time, likely due to the increasing financialization of energy commodities. It fluctuates with respect to (i) different investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014456134
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641741
This paper examines the relationship between aggregate insider trading (AIT) and stock market volatility using monthly … specifically, a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model is estimated and Impulse Response analysis as well as Forecast Error Variance …-run increase in stock market volatility; this can be attributed to a combination of insiders manipulating the timing and content of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014304456
This paper investigates the US housing market from just before the Great Recession onward (2006-2019) and assesses the viability of stock-flow matching in generating the observed outcomes. The paper documents that the probability a house sells declines sharply after listing for two weeks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419282
prices react more to news in downturns than in upturns, implying higher volatility in downturns and negatively skewed returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794118
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965099
during the period of the financial crisis. In a Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis, finally, we further illustrate the advantages … of copula methods. In particular the Student-t copula provides an appropriate quantification of VaR at different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011778