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What are the root causes of Africa's current state of under-development? Is it the long history of slave trade, or the legacy of extractive colonial institutions, or the fallout of malaria? We investigate the relative contributions of these factors using an instrumental variable approach. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005057557
Central to the conduct of monetary policy are inflation forecasts. Inflation forecast are not unique. Central banks and … professional organizations generate inflation forecasts while households are surveyed about their inflation outlook. This paper … estimates inflation forecast disagreement for nine economies over the 1999-2009 period, five of which target inflation. I find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201607
A puzzle from the Great Recession is an apparent mismatch between a fall in the persistence of European inflation rates …, and the increased variability of expert forecasts of inflation. We explain this puzzle and show how country specific … beliefs about inflation are still quite close to the European Central Bank target of 2% (what we call official target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904282
This article examines the performance of inflation targeters during the 2007-2012 downturn compared to those without … successful policy results in higher inflation and output growth, lower unemployment, and a better fiscal position. The analysis … is conducted separately for developed and emerging countries. Inflation targeting tends to insulate developed countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938592
real depreciation of the rupiah, and rapid growth of base money, which resulted in inflation. Thus all prices rose, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005115699
We examine the role of substitution from traditional to modern energy carriers and of differential rates of innovation in the use of each of these in Sweden from 1850 to 1950. We use a simple growth model with a nested CES production function and exogenous factor augmenting technological change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860360
The expansion in the supply of energy services over the last couple of centuries has reduced the apparent importance of energy in economic growth despite energy being an essential production input. We demonstrate this by developing a simple extension of the Solow growth model, which we use to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186018
This paper asserts that the endowments of production factors cause cross-country differences in GDP per capita by generating disparities in the sectoral composition. For that purpose, we characterize the dynamic equilibrium of a two-sector endogenous growth model with many consumption goods that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010607703
In this study, we analyze the relationship between inflation and economic growth. To this end, we construct a model of … endogenous growth with creative destruction, incorporating sticky prices due to menu costs. Inflation and deflation reduce the … maximize the rate of economic growth by setting their target inflation rate at the negative of a fundamental growth rate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272147
The paper explains the large differences in cross-country productivity performance by modeling and testing the effects of social barriers to communication on productivity and capital accumulation. In an optimal growth model, social barriers to communication that impede the formation of knowledge...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464904