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decomposition analysis. The main results indicate that the contribution of global risk aversion to explain the evolution of debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012656099
, due to a changed perception in the country’s growth prospects, to an increase in the risk of domestic default, or to a … shift in investors’ attitudes toward risk. Often times, monetary and financial elements are combined. A drop in domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025374
gross (but not net) capital inflows in general increase the risk of a currency crisis, but looking at a disaggregated level …, gross portfolio flows increase the risk of a currency crisis for advanced economies, whereas gross FDI inflows decrease the … risk of a crisis for EMEs. Third, contagion has a very strong impact, consistent with the past literature, especially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085361
We study the dynamic response of gross capital flows in emerging market economies to different global financial shocks, using a panel vector-autoregressive (PVAR) setting. Our focus lies primarily on the potentially stabilizing role played by domestic investors in offsetting the response of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053960
liability side, allowing investors sell domestic and foreign bonds and capturing changes in counterparty risk in a stylized way … prices are mainly affected by financiers' concern for counterparty risk: impact effects are deep and in line with the terms … cumulative effects have instead more mixed results on fluctuations. -- borrowing limits ; counterparty risk ; financial flows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009490166
experiencing a favourable supply side shock consumes more against expected future output and spreads the risk by selling shares …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318678
Europe experienced substantial cross-country variation in domestic credit growth and cross border capital flows during the pre-crisis period. We investigate the inter-relations between domestic credit growth and international capital flows over 1993-2008, with a special focus on the 2003-2008...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080089
We propose a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility to analyze the relationship between global factors and country-specific capital flow dynamics. Studying a global sample of 43 countries from 1994 until 2015, we show that global co-movement of macroeconomic,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929696
We study international business cycles and capital flows in the UK, the United States and the Emerging Periphery in the period 1885-1939. Based on the same set of parameters, our model explains current account dynamics under both the Classical Gold Standard and during the Interwar period. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009741030
economy, reflecting borrowers' credit risk. The new analytical results are as follows. First, agents choose endogenously how …' funding. As for portfolios, secured bonds have particularly effective hedging properties in managing the terms of trade risk … source of risk which cannot be internationally diversified. -- financial flows ; borrowing limits ; creditworthiness ; risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009349743