Showing 1 - 10 of 252
-probability extreme events on environmental policy in a continuous-time real options model with "tail risk". In a nutshell, our results … indicate the importance of tail risk and call for foresighted pre-emptive climate policies. -- climate policy ; extreme events …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994530
We develop a simple model of managing a system subject to pollution damage under risk of an abrupt and random jump in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489041
or 1.5oC. The safe carbon budget is lower if uncertainty about the transient climate response is high and risk tolerance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011717248
We examine the relationship between private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro area. We test three … hypotheses: First, private bank deposits relative to Germany are determined by macro/fiscal risk factors. Second, this … relationship is time-varying. Third, time-variation is driven by the level of macro/fiscal risk. Our findings validate all three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011982211
persistence has declined after Brexit. These findings highlight the importance of completing swiftly the negotiations with the EU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011793915
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the euro area, and investigates the linkages between them in a VAR framework, also allowing for the possible impact of the policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003871923
We present a simple approach to transform a deterministic numerical model, where several agents simultaneously make decisions, into a stochastic model. This approach, which builds on scenario aggregation, a numerical method developed to solve decision problems under uncertainty, is used to build...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212655
The implementation of European Union directives into national law is at the discretion of member states. We analyze incentives for member states to deviate from these directives when the European Commission may sue a defecting member state and rulings at the European Court of Justice (ECJ) are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722016
This paper uses the European Commission's Consumer Survey to assess whether inflation expectations have converged and whether inflation uncertainty has diminished following the introduction of the Euro in Europe. Consumers' responses to the survey suggest that inflation expectations depend more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301079
We assess the impact of geopolitical risk and world uncertainty on the sovereign debt risk of 26 European Economies … European country's sovereign risk as measured by 5- and 10-year Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and bond returns. Moreover, this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442414