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monetary policy shocks playing virtually no role during this period. In the third-regime, unconventional monetary policy shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229804
seven major OECD countries using Uhlig's (2005) agnostic identification procedure. This method allows a housing demand shock … left unrestricted. The results suggest that consumption responds positively and significantly to a house price shock in … shock in Germany, Japan, the UK and the US, suggesting that while central banks do not seem to respond instantly and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794058
spending stays unchanged). Using South African quarterly data from 1966:Q1 to 2011:Q2, we show that a deficit spending shock … shock, house prices increase persistently while stock prices increase quickly, but only temporarily. A balanced budget shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036495
This paper develops a New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (NKDSGE) model for forecasting the growth rate of output, inflation, and the nominal short-term interest rate (91 days Treasury Bill rate) for the South African economy. The model is estimated via maximum likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138053
The real interest rate is a very important variable in the transmission of monetary policy. It features in vast majority of financial and macroeconomic models. Though the theoretical importance of the real interest rate has generated a sizable literature that examines its long-run properties,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010585690
The real interest rate is a very important variable in the transmission of monetary policy. It features in vast majority of financial and macroeconomic models. Though the theoretical importance of the real interest rate has generated a sizable literature that examines its long-run properties,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010834038
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179677
demand shock in a six-variable VAR model by imposing sign restrictions on the impulse responses of consumer prices … left unrestricted. The results suggest that consumption responds positively and significantly to a house price shock in … follows a house price shock in Germany, Japan, the UK and the US, suggesting that while central banks do not seem to respond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323420
This paper investigates the existence of spillovers from stock prices onto consumption and the interest rate for South Africa using a time-varying vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model with stochastic volatility. In this regard, we estimate a three-variable TVP-VAR model comprising of real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010658702