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Michigan Surveys of Consumers. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data …I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
There is ample empirical evidence in the literature for the positive effect of central bank transparency on the economy. The main channel is that transparency reduces the uncertainty regarding future monetary policy and thereby it helps agents to make better investment, and saving decisions. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111698
inflation, has remained unexplained in terms of its mathematical origins. Keynes had attempted to relate inflation to a … mechanism of "sticky wages and prices". Hitherto, such theories of inflation have remained unproven and disputable. Recently …, during the so-called "New Economy" era, characterized by a spread of electronic transactions and Internet commerce, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412616
The paper discusses the structural changes taking place in the financial system of the Republic of Croatia after the country became independent. Particular attention is given to the banking system, bankruptcies and rehabilitation of banks. Furthermore, the paper analyzes the development of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836443
The launch of the euro has fed doubts concerning the constitution of an optimal European monetary zone. Indeed, the differences in legal, institutional and cultural frameworks… as well as the diversity of the productive and financial European systems may have led to the idea that Europe does...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258339
Most macroeconomic models, such as the IS-LM, assume equilibrium in money markets. Since money demand is an inverse function of velocity, an inaccurate estimate of velocity will lead to errors in calculating the monetary and general equilibria. This note suggests a way to gauge the potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201780
This paper studies whether the observed high correlation between monetary policy in the U.S. and the Euro area can be explained by economic fundamentals, i.e. by macroeconomic interdependence between the two regions. We show that an optimal monetary policy reaction function for the ECB that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680317
The three-equation New-Keynesian model advocated by Woodford (2003) as a self-contained system on which to base monetary policy analysis is shown to be inconsistent in the sense that its long-run static equilibrium solution implies that the interest rate is determined from two of the system’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009226956
In this paper we suggest a simple empirical and model-independent measure of Central Banks' Conservatism, based on the Taylor curve. This new indicator can easily be extended in time and space, whatever the underlying monetary regime of the considered countries. We demonstrate that it evolves in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107702
This paper provides a micro-economic approach to evaluating bank stability in the face of adverse liquidity conditions … stability. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109463