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(NAIRU) by using information contained in the trend of productivity growth. My approach enhances the recently proposed model … to alternativestatistical assumptions. In economic terms, the productivity-augmented model generates a more realistic … productivity growth trend. I find support for the "level" hypothesis in both the US and international data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963765
This paper studies the role of long-term unemployment in the determination of prices and wages. Labor market theories such as insider-outsider models predict that this type of unemployed are less relevant in the wage formation process than the newly unemployed. This paper looks for evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318785
This paper studies the role of long-term unemployment in the determination of prices and wages. Labor market theories such as insider-outsider models predict that this type of unemployed are less relevant in the wage formation process than the newly unemployed. This paper looks for evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604487
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical instrument, suitable for economic policy: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448601
We test the hypothesis that the long-term Phillips curve is downward sloping and has become flatter in the last 10 to 15 years. Controlling for the most important other factors influencing the inflation rate, we estimate cointegrations and test whether a "break" in the Phillips curve can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133384
We test the hypothesis that the long-term Phillips curve is downward sloping and has become flatter in the last 10 to 15 years. Controlling for the most important other factors influencing the inflation rate, we estimate cointegrations and test whether a "break" in the Phillips curve can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014363111
The paper aims to estimate the New Keynesian Phillips curve in the case of Romanian economy. The empirical model estimates simultaneously the potential output and the output gap; the natural rate of unemployment and the cyclical unemployment as an Okun Law type relationship; and the New Phillips...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014149265
The NAIRU is a key component of potential output and as such critically affects output gap estimates. In May 2014, the European Commission changed its specification of the NAIRU for several countries and lowered its NAIRU estimates - in the case of Spain from 26.6% to 20.7% for 2015. To test the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010458229
The paper estimates the NAIRU from a Phillips curve relationship in the state-space framework. To identify the inflation-unemployment trade-off we account for a time-varying inflation trend to control for the part of inflation that is not affected by the cyclical component of unemployment. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657146
The terms "NAIRU" and "natural rate of unemployment" are not interchangeable. Further, while there is a consensus that the NAIRU represents an empirical macroeconomic relationship, little agreement exists regarding what is meant by the "natural rate of unemployment." This paper estimates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014209548