Cet article évalue l'impact sur la croissance potentielle à l'horizon 2020 de différentes trajectoires de dette publique française, sous l'hypothèse d'une accélération des dépenses de retraite entièrement financée par endettement. Un modèle analytique avec fonction de production et...

Cette étude présente une méthode empirique simple permettant d'évaluer l'impact des finances publiques sur la croissance à court terme, et plus précisément : a)l'impulsion discrétionnaire des finances publiques avant bouclage macroéconomique ; b) l'impact sur la croissance de...

This paper analyzes the long term sustainability of budgetary policies in a general equilibrium framework. The analysis is based on an overlapping generations model where the government fixes a tax rate on factor incomes, conducts unproductive and productive public spendings and determines the...

Remarks at the Chapter 9 and Alternatives for Distressed Municipalities and States Workshop, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City.

The demographic structure of a country influences economic activity. The "second dividend" modifies growth. Accordingly, in general equilibrium, the second dividend and the demographic structure are interrelated. This paper aims at assessing empirically the "second dividend" in a dynamic,...

A rising share of renewables in the energy mix push es up the average price of energy - and so does a carbon tax. However the former bolsters the accumulation of capital whereas the latter, if fully recycled, does not. Thus, in general equilibrium, the effects on growth and intertemporal welfare...

Social planners in most western countries will be facing two long-lasting challenges in the next years: energy transition and fiscal consolidation. One problem is that governments might consider that implementing an energy transition could get i n the way of achieving a fiscal consolidation. If...

This paper analyses the effects of transitory increases in government spending when public debt is used as liquidity by the private sector. Aggregate shocks are introduced into an incomplete-market economy where heterogenous, infitely-lived households face occasionally binding borrowing...

The 2007-2009 crisis has led to a return of Keynesian analyses and policies. The paper analyses the contradictions between a structural crisis, the implementation at a very large scale of Keynesian policies and the denial to undermine financial capitalism. The crisis has led the French...