The existence of incomplete financial markets, in an environment of uncertainty, is one of the problems of the Latin American economies, that determines a suboptimal path of public spending, with the consequent loss of social welfare. The existence of a high degree of positive correlation...

This paper analyzes the impact of external price shocks on fiscal policy in Argentina during the last two decades. The paper evaluates, through VAR models with long-term restrictions, the effects of the terms of trade, and the output gap, in revenues, expenditures and the primary fiscal deficit,...

Since 2006, Bolivia began an intensive public investment program under its development plan. Fourteen years later, I analyze the role of this expansionary fiscal policy. In this regard, I develop a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for a small, open and developing country. Among the...

The following study identifies five periods with different price regimes (for main hydrocarbons): 1) 1986-1996, where these prices are part of the Government's fiscal policy to finance part of the structural adjustment policies after the inflationary period; 2) 1997-1999, when a new methodology...

This paper presents an econometric analysis of the demand for the monetary aggregate M1 in Mexico. Using cointegration techniques, we identify both a stable long-run relationship between M1 and its determinants, and a statistically sound single-equation error-correction model. Results are used...

The aim of this paper is to identify the different shocks that could affect the current account in the argentine case, such as the terms of trade (the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect-HLM), supply shocks (productivity), demand shocks (real exchange rate and public consumption /current GDP) and...

The objective of this paper is to identify the months in which more products and services are consumed in Mexico with the Value Added Tax (VAT), using the percentage change ratio (collection speed / month) based on the information for the year 2003 and until the month of August 2015. For each of...

This paper studies the relation between government spending composition and long-run behavior of Colombian real Exchange rate given the recomposition since 2004 from public consumption to public investment. Our results suggest that empirical models work better when the relative price of...