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We investigate state-dependent effects of fiscal multipliers and allow for endogenous sample splitting to determine whether the US economy is in a slack state. When the endogenized slack state is estimated as the period of the unemployment rate higher than about 12 percent, the estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012237148
Much of the research on fiscal multipliers has used reduced form modelling approaches. While these models have been extended to include richer controls and identification approaches, it remains unclear whether shocks identified capture the true structural shocks. An alternative way to identify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241962
The 'starving the beast' hypothesis claims that tax cuts lead to lower public spending, rather than higher debt levels and higher taxes in the future. This paper uses the institutional setting of German fiscal federalism to its advantage in order to explore how fiscal policy reacts to exogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157329
stabilisation tool. At the same time, there is ample evidence that major economic downturns produce lasting effects on real GDP in … fiscal expansion, and (ii) find the right time to pivot from short-term stabilisation to fiscal consolidation while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448651
Do voters punish governments that introduce fiscal "austerity" measures? If so, does voter response vary according to the design (composition) of fiscal adjustments? What determines the timing of fiscal consolidations? The empirical literature on the political economy of fiscal adjustments,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052149
This paper provides a set of detailed estimated fiscal reaction functions for a panel of twenty industrialized countries, and it discusses commonalities and differences with regard to systematic fiscal policies across countries. In general, the countries in the panel adjust tax revenues strongly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009782452
The paper studies empirically the fiscal policy instruments by which governments try to influence election outcomes in 24 developing countries for the 1973-1992 period. The study finds that the main vehicle for expansionary fiscal policies around elections is increasing public expenditure rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229105
In response to the recent sovereign debt crisis, the member states of the European Union agreed to enact balanced budget rules in their national legislation. However, little is known about the public's opinion of balanced budget rules. To fill this gap, we conducted a survey among 2,000...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010386575
Finland and the UK, and for several EU New Member States. Moreover, in the run-up to EMU there was some shifting away from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861754
This paper concentrates on the golden rule of public finance. It reviews the main advantages and disadvantages of the potential implementation of this rule in the European Union. Often the question of the productivity of public capital is at the heart of the rule's discussions. As this issue has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798079