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Macroeconomic and fiscal challenges faced by the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean region
Dąbrowski, Marek - 2014
The current fiscal imbalances and fragilities in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries (SEMC) are the result of decades of instability, but have become more visible since 2008, when a combination of adverse economic and political shocks (the global and European financial crises, Arab...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337694
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The scarring effects of major economic downturns : the role of fiscal policy and government investment
Larch, Martin; Claeys, Peter; Van Der Wielen, Wouter - 2022
stabilisation tool. At the same time, there is ample evidence that major economic downturns produce lasting effects on real GDP in … fiscal expansion, and (ii) find the right time to pivot from short-term stabilisation to fiscal consolidation while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448651
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Monetary-fiscal policy relations in the euro area : the impact on the primary balance
Dascher-Preising, Fabienne; Greiner, Alfred - 2022
With this paper, our objective is to empirically study public debt sustainability by estimating a fiscal reaction function where the primary balance relative to GDP is assumed to be a function of the public debt to GDP ratio of the previous year and of other macroeconomic variables. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013335018
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The macroeconomic effects of fiscal consolidation in dynamic general equilibrium
Schwarzmüller, Tim; Wolters, Maik H. - 2014
We provide a systematic analysis of fiscal consolidation in a medium-scale dynamic general equilibrium model. Our results show that the choice of the consolidation instrument is very important, not only with respect to the short- and long-run output effects of the different consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416675
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Implementing the golden rule for public investment in Europe : safeguarding public investment and supporting the recovery
Truger, Achim - 2015
Most parts of the Euro area have seen seven years of deep economic crisis. The strategy of tightening the fiscal constraints of the SGP has driven many member states into austerity. In contrast, the golden rule of public investment proposed in this study would be one important element of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011336549
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The Euro area periphery sovereigns' fiscal positions and unconventional monetary policy
Hülsewig, Oliver; Scharler, Johann - 2020
We explore the reaction of the euro area periphery sovereigns' fiscal positions to an unconventional monetary policy shock. We estimate panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models over the period 2010-2018, and identify the shock by imposing sign restrictions. Our results suggest that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154910
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The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy
Afonso, António; Sousa, Ricardo M. - 2009
We investigate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy using a Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression approach. We build on a recursive identification scheme, but we: (i) include the feedback from government debt (ii); look at the impact on the composition of output; (iii) assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826480
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Fiscal sustainability in developing Asia
Adams, Charles; Ferrarini, Benno; Park, Donghyun - 2010
The central objective of this paper is to empirically examine the issue of fiscal sustainability in developing Asia. To do so, we first diagnose the region's public finances by analyzing the evolution of key fiscal indicators over time and across subregions. We then estimate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003984753
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(Non-)Keynesian effects of fiscal austerity : new evidence from a large sample
Afonso, António; Alves, José; Huart, Florence - 2021
We empirically assess whether a usually expected negative response of private consumption and private investment to a fiscal consolidation is reversed. We focus on a large sample of 174 countries between 1970 and 2018. We also employ three alternative measures of the Cyclically Adjusted Primary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504460
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Changes in the Response of Fiscal Policy to Monetary Policy in the EMU
Arora, Sanchit; Boeing-Reicher, Claire - 2014
We study the evolution of the response of fiscal policy to monetary policy shocks in the EMU in the light of two … important events: the signing of the Maastricht treaty in 1992 and the introduction of the EMU in 1999. Based on impulse … policy acted as complements after the introduction of the EMU. These results holds for a set of 11 non-EMU countries as well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362160