The term globalisation has gained widespread popularity; yet most treatments are either descriptive and/or focused on changes in economic interconnectivity. This book brings together leading international experts from a range of disciplines to develop a long-term analysis to address the problems...

Empirical evidence suggests that many macroeconomic and financial time series are subject to occasional structural breaks. In this paper we present analytical results quantifying the effects of such breaks on the correlation between the forecast and the realization and on the ability to forecast...

Empirical evidence suggests that many macroeconomic and financial time series are subject to occasional structural breaks. In this paper we present analytical results quantifying the effects of such breaks on the correlation between the forecast and the realization and on the ability to forecast...