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rates on domestic inflation, which may have contributed to differences in policy stances during the boom in commodity prices …
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The paper seeks to shed light on inflation dynamics of four new EU member states (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland … inflation-forcing variable is fragile. (2) Inflation seems to be driven by external factors. (3) Although inflation holds … forward-looking component, the backward-looking one is substantial. An intuitive explanation for higher inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003949344
Vector autoregressive moving-average (VARMA) processes are suitable models for producing linear forecasts of sets of time series variables. They provide parsimonious representations of linear data generation processes. The setup for these processes in the presence of stationary and cointegrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023700
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to 'normal times'. -- Cointegration ; gold price ; inflation hedge ; Markov-switching error correction …This study analyzes the question whether gold provides the ability of hedging against inflation from a new perspective …: First, we show that gold is partially able to hedge future inflation in the long-run and this ability is stronger for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580064
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co-integration tests and the studies on South Africa primarily using short-span data from the post-Bretton Woods era, we … Dollar using annual data from 1910 – 2010. The results provide some support for the monetary model in that long-run co-integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770376
We study the relation between inflation and real activity over the business cycle. We employ a Trend-Cycle VAR model to … control for low-frequency movements in inflation, unemployment, and growth that are pervasive in the post-WWII period. We show … that cyclical fluctuations of inflation are related to cyclical movements in real activity and unemployment, in line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247995