concerned with themodelling and forecasting of two U.S. macroeconomic time series:inflation and industrial production. …

/full">'Journal of Applied Econometrics'</A>, 2014, 29(7), 1164-1182.<P> Changing time series properties of US inflation and … inflation are incorporated and their relative importance evaluated. Survey data on expected inflation are introduced to … credible evidence is found on endogeneity and long run stability between inflation and marginal costs. Backward …

We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the … conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the … efficient estimates of the parameters using a monthly dataset of core inflation for which we consider different subsamples of …

cointegration relation between US inflation and marginal costs. Tails of the complete predictive distributions indicate an increase …Changing time series properties of US inflation and economic activity are analyzed within a class of extended Phillips … models that describe changing patterns in low and high frequencies and backward as well as forward inflation expectation …

In this paper we develop and estimate a behavioral model of inflation dynamics with monopolistic competition, staggered … naive. Fundamentalists are forward-looking in the sense that they believe in a present-value relationship between inflation … forecast future inflation. Agents are allowed to switch between these different forecasting strategies conditional on their …

, notwithstanding that inflation in some countries tends to converge towards the euro area level. Overa11, inflation persistence has …

This paper investigates the international spillovers of government debt and the associated risk of inflation within a … inflation at the cost of the funded country. In response to these conflicting interests about inflation, inflation risk may rise … with the level of debt in the PAYG country. Higher inflation risk harms both countries. Actually, in contrast to the debt …

crisis is empirically examined. The standard model for themonetary analysis of inflation, i.e. the P-Star model by Hallman … long run dynamics of CPI inflation inIndonesia remarkably weIl. Hence, there is an empirical support for the assertion that …