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testing approach to cointegration. Empirical results indicated that inflation in Nigeria proxied by CPI exhibited a strong … degree of inertia. The econometric results showed that past inflation and average rainfall appeared to have been the main … supply in the inflation process, lending credence to the dominance of the monetarist proposition on inflation dynamics in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011534974
This study investigates asymmetry in the impact of domestic inflation drivers in the Baltic States, focusing on the … affect the inflation rate by employing a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approach (NARDL) and the Phillips curve …. Empirical results demonstrate the long-run asymmetry as inflation in Estonia and Lithuania responds more significantly to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243019
rates on domestic inflation, which may have contributed to differences in policy stances during the boom in commodity prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012446312
) with a special focus on persistence of real wages, wage and price inflation. The analysis is conducted within a structural … model, as well as the cointegrating properties of the estimated system. Overall, in the long run, wage and price inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867061
inflation and commodity prices using recent methods of linear cointegration, and non-linear Granger causality. The main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776655
Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a … are also reported on. The first shows that cointegration vector parameter estimation error is crucial when using VEC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005750247
Money long-run super-neutrality and the vertical long-run Phillips curve are two widely shared beliefs in the economics profession and among economic policy-makers. The present survey is devoted to anomalous empirical evidence which challenges this view. We consider a variety of studies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456445
long-run interest rates with corresponding inflation rates. Traditional cointegration implies perfect mean reversion in …Using data from Germany, Japan, UK, and the U.S., we explore possible threshold cointegration in nominal short- and … real rates and hence confirms the Fisher hypothesis. Threshold cointegration accounts for the possibility that this mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725013
Since 2000 U.S. inflation has remained both below target and silent to domestic slack and monetary interventions. A … inflation. The trend analysis shows that, starting from the '90s, despite very well-anchored expectations, slow-moving imported … "cost-push" factors induced deflationary pressure keeping trend inflation below target. The cycle block provides evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795587
framework, indicating demand pressure that generates inflation. The output gap is also an important variable in itself, as a … value added in predicting inflation. The multivariate measures of the output gap have by far the best predictive power. This … predicting inflation. As uncertainties are particularly pronounced at the end of the calculation periods, assessment of pressures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284323