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Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813893
We examine the relationship between inflation and fiscal sustainability with a two-step approach. In the first step, we estimate to estimate a country-specific time-varying measure of fiscal sustainability using the fiscal reaction function. This function captures the response of the primary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444867
conclude for the existence of panel cointegration between government revenues and expenditures; primary government balance and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289
While the financial protection measures enacted by the ECB and the community of Eurozone members have calmed financial markets, they have left the competitiveness problem of the Eurozone's southern countries and France unresolved. The paper compares price inflation before the crisis with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009691625
We apply a "new" conventional (CAPB-based) measure of fiscal policy, which is less prone to endogeneity issues, and find that a 1-percent of GDP fiscal consolidation leads to the improvement of the current account-to-GDP ratio by approximately 0.8 percent of GDP, while previous research based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157972
changes and credit facilities as adjustment mechanisms for current account imbalances. Panel regressions reveal a robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009702880
The paper analyses the role of fiscal and monetary policy for the development of the current account imbalances in the euro area, including the most recent developments during the coronavirus crisis. Several financial transmission channels such as international bank lending, changes in TARGET2...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012550195
Using an extended data set of EU countries ranging from 1971-2006 and relevant econometric methods, we investigate the … economic, political, and institutional determinants of government deficits in the EU. The results show a strong opportunistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831961
The paper uses fiscal reaction functions for a panel of euro-area countries to investigate whether euro membership has … specification, such as an exclusion of Greece from the panel. This suggests that the current debt problems may result to a large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748386
governments will be in a position to defer consolidation to years with higher growth. Overall, our analysis of a panel of European …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764994