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estimated in two ways. One may test for speculative bubbles, or fads, by testing whether the two estimates are the same. When … the test is applied to some annual U.S. stock market data, the data usually reject the null hypothesis of no bubbles. The …
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There has been a long-running debate about whether stock market prices are determined by fundamentals. To date no consensus has been reached. An important issue in this debate concerns the circumstances in which deviations from fundamentals are consistent with rational behavior. A...
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This paper provides a guide to macroeconomic applications of the theory of rational bubbles. It shows that rational … bubbles can be easily incorporated into standard macroeconomic models, and illustrates how they can be used to account for … important macroeconomic phenomena. It also discusses the welfare implications of rational bubbles and the role of policy in …
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I examine the impact of alternative monetary policy rules on a rational asset price bubble, through the lens of an overlapping generations model with nominal rigidities. A systematic increase in interest rates in response to a growing bubble is shown to enhance the fluctuations in the latter,...
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