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We investigate the relation between the intradaily HUF/EUR exchange rate on the one hand and news announcements and order flow on the other hand. We extend the existing literature on foreign exchange market microstructure by considering a small open transition economy. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008487270
In this paper we analyse the relation between the EUR/HUF exchange rate, economic fundamentals and FX market transactions. Our results are in line with international experiences: the effect of macroeconomic announcements is transmitted to the exchange rate partly directly, with an immediate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005562403
We investigate the relation between the EUR/HUF exchange rate on the one hand and news announcements and order flow on the other hand using intraday data. We extend the existing literature on foreign exchange market microstructure by considering a small open transition economy. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003884519
This paper presents evidence on the accuracy of press reports regarding the foreign exchange market interventions conducted by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) between January 1995 and December 1999. We find that the reports of interventions in the financial press are a relatively inaccurate indicator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014117201
We analyze the influence of US monetary policy on commodity price volatility. Expected target rate changes and communications decrease volatility, whereas target rate surprises and unorthodox measures increase it. The “calming” effect of communication is reduced during the financial crisis.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041671
Successfully managing a course back to normality ("exit") will depend crucially on the central banks' ability to communicate effectively a credible strategy for an orderly exit from such kind of policies. In this context, clear, deliberate, coordinated messages that are anchored in the central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011645012
This paper studies the effects of FOMC communication on U.S. financial markets' returns and volatility using a GARCH model over the period from 1998 to 2006. We build a new data set that includes information on all FOMC speeches, post-meeting statements, monetary policy reports and testimonies....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271166
Using an event-study design, we investigate monetary policy interest-rate-to-performance sensitivity of the European banking sector over the 07/2012-06/2017 period when interest rates were (close to) zero. We apply the Wordscores approach to introductory statements of ECB's Governing Council...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030946
In this paper we quantitatively analyse monetary policy statements of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) from 1998 to 2017, across the regimes of five governors. We first ask whether the content and focus of the statements have changed with the adoption of inflation-targeting as a framework for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012049295
We examine howthe verbal complexity of ECB communications affectsfi-nancial market trading based on high-frequency data fromEuropean stock index futures trading. Studying the 34 events between May 2009 and June 2017, during which the ECB Governing Council press conferences covered unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111135