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Evaluations of workfare programs in poor rural economies have typically ignored two features that policy makers stress … methods to incorporate both features, and shows that doing so can switch the policy ranking in favor of welfare over workfare … suggested by past methods, despite a more “poor-poor” incidence. A basic-income guarantee would dominate net workfare earnings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025789
This paper provides quasi-experimental estimates of the causal effect of long-term unemployment on wages. Using standard job search theory, the paper derives and tests conditions on reemployment wages under which Unemployment Insurance (UI) extensions can be used as instrumental variables (IV)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071300
This paper investigates the potential reasons for the surprisingly different labor market performance of the United States, Canada, Germany, and several other OECD countries during and after the Great Recession of 2008-09. Unemployment rates did not change substantially in Germany, increased and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043619
In this paper, we review the literature on the quot;spikequot; in unemployment exit rates around benefit exhaustion, and present new evidence based on administrative data for a large sample of job losers in Austria. We find that the way unemployment spells are measured has a large effect on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760395
One of the strongest trends in recent macroeconomic modeling of labor market fluctuations is to treat unemployment inflows as acyclical. This trend stems in large part from an influential paper by Shimer on quot;Reassessing the Ins and Outs of Unemployment,quot; i.e., the extent to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760434
We explore the extent to which composition, duration dependence, and labor force non-participation can account for the sharp increase in the incidence of long-term unemployment (LTU) during the Great Recession. We first show that compositional shifts in demographics, occupation, industry,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051310
This paper analyses job seekers' perceptions and their relationship to unemployment outcomes to study heterogeneity and duration dependence in both perceived and actual job finding. Using longitudinal data from two comprehensive surveys, we document that elicited beliefs are (1) strongly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907446
It is well known that the long-term unemployed fare worse in the labor market than the short-term unemployed, but less clear why this is so. One potential explanation is that the long-term unemployed are “bad apples” who had poorer prospects from the outset of their spells (heterogeneity)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982532
This paper documents the abnormally slow recovery in the labor market during the Great Recession, and analyzes how mortgage modification policies contributed to delayed recovery. By making modifications means-tested by reducing mortgage payments based on a borrower's current income, these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121057
The Great Recession from December 2007 to June 2009 is associated with a dramatic weakening of the labor market from which the labor market is now only slowly recovering. The unemployment rate remains stubbornly high and durations of unemployment are unprecedentedly long. I use data from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125172