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-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418077
-term effects on expected employment and labor force participation, suggesting positive hysteresis. Our forecast evaluation tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022008
This paper analyzes the sources of output and unemployment dynamics in the world economy during the Great Recession. This analysis is based on a panel unobserved components model of the world economy, disaggregated into its fifteen largest national economies. We find that excess supply pressure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402708
We study the effects and historical contribution of monetary policy shocks to consumption and income inequality in the United States since 1980. Contractionary monetary policy actions systematically increase inequality in labor earnings, total income, consumption and total expenditures....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621686
Applying commonly used vector autoregression (VAR) techniques, this paper investigates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy on output and prices for Mauritius, using data for 1999-2009. The results show that (i) an unexpected monetary policy tightening-an increase in the Bank of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402800
The introduction of inflation targeting in 2006, together with important economic developments such as dedollarization, marked the beginning of a new macroeconomic framework in Armenia, which is likely to have changed the effectiveness of monetary policy. This paper is the first attempt to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403230
We study the effects and historical contribution of monetary policy shocks to consumption and income inequality in the United States since 1980. Contractionary monetary policy actions systematically increase inequality in labor earnings, total income, consumption and total expenditures....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395691
This paper develops and estimates a game-theoretical model of inflation targeting where the central banker''s preferences are asymmetric around the targeted rate. Specifically, positive deviations from the target can be weighted more, or less, severely than negative ones in the central banker''s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400680
levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as 'hysteresis,' argues for unifying the analysis of growth and … renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251398
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388661