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forecasts) and in decisions for which the application of fast-and-frugal heuristics has been claimed (city-size decisions) the … assumption of complex decision models and the fast-and-frugal heuristics approach, which claim that probabilistic inferences are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264843
Many everyday decisions have to be made under risk and can be interpreted as choices between gambles with different outcomes that are realized with specific probabilities. The underlying cognitive processes were investigated by testing six sets of hypotheses concerning choices, decision times,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266962
In recent years, numerous studies comparing intuition and deliberation have been published. However, until now … postulate that intuition and deliberation are completely distinct processes against predictions of interventionist models. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266959
Three studies sought to investigate decision strategies in memory-based decisions and to test the predictions of the … the model was compared against simple heuristics (take the best and equal weight) and a weighted additive strategy. From … evidence for use of simple heuristics. The time pressure manipulation did not significantly affect decision strategies. Overall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266971
We claim that understanding human decisions requires that both automatic and deliberate processes be considered. First, we sketch the qualitative differences between two hypothetical processing systems, an automatic and a deliberate system. Second, we show the potential that connectionism offers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264831
information. We conducted three studies to test the PH empirically by analyzing individual choice patterns, decision times and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264834
Criminal procedure is organized as a tournament with predefined roles. We show that assuming the role of a defense counsel or prosecutor leads to role induced bias even if people are highly motivated to give unbiased judgments. In line with parallel constraint satisfaction models for legal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286706
Expertise research shows quite ambiguous results on the abilities of experts in judgment and decision making (JDM) classic models cannot account for. This problem becomes even more accentuated if different levels of expertise are considered. We argue that parallel constraint satisfaction models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267004
predict exchange rates and to advocate floating exchange rates, economists unwittingly employ nominalist heuristics. Second …, nominalist heuristics have influenced actual exchange rates through the centuries, and this finding is replicated in the … laboratory. Third, nominalist heuristics are incompatible with expected utility theory which excludes the evaluation stage, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274186
the major alternative explanations that individuals use more complex heuristics or merely encode the constellation of cues …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264841