This paper studies the recent trends in inflation in the euro area and estimates to what extent the current inflationary pressures are driven by demand expansion and by supply side disruptions. First of all, consumer price inflation is particularly pronounced in goods and less so in the case of...

To gauge the breadth of current inflation and prospects for inflation returning to target, we consider disaggregated measures of CPI infl ation to evaluate trends and then consider diff erent scenarios for the realisation for wages and prices.

Until the global financial crisis of 2007-08, inflation differentials in the euro area could beexplained by a general trend towards price level convergence; that is, countries with lowerprice levels tended to have higher inflation rates than countries with higher price levels.Since then, however,...