Showing 1 - 10 of 31
Taking advantage of a trades-and-quotes high-frequency database, we document the main stylized facts and dynamic properties of spot precious metals, i.e. gold, silver, palladium, and platinum. We analyze the behaviors of spot prices, returns, volume, and selected liquidity measures. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407214
We define risk spillover as the dependence of a given asset variance on the past covariances and variances of other assets. Building on this idea, we propose the use of a highly flexible and tractable model to forecast the volatility of an international equity portfolio. According to the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407672
In this paper, we estimate, model and forecast Realized Range Volatility, a new realized measure and estimator of the quadratic variation of financial prices. This estimator was early introduced in the literature and it is based on the high-low range observed at high frequency during the day. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130487
The volatility of financial returns is affected by rapid and large increments. Such movements can be hardly generated by a pure diffusive process for stochastic volatility. On the contrary jumps in volatility are important because they allow for rapid increases, like those observed during stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323210
The energy sector is one of the most important in the world, so that time series fluctuations in leading energy sources have been analysed widely. As the leading energy commodities are traded on international stock exchanges, the analysis of the fluctuations in stock and financial derivatives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441584
We retrieve news stories and earnings announcements of the S&P 100 constituents from two professional news providers, along with ten macroeconomic indicators. We also gather data from Google Trends about these firms’ assets as an index of retail investors’ attention. Thus, we create an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711085
The realized volatility of financial returns is characterized by persistence and occurrence of unpredictable large increments. To capture those features, we introduce the Multiplicative Error Model with jumps (MEM-J). When a jump component is included in the multiplicative specification, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048202
In this paper, we estimate, model and forecast Realized Range Volatility, a realized measure and estimator of the quadratic variation of financial prices. This quantity was early introduced in the literature and it is based on the high-low range observed at high frequency during the day. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076452
Volatility clustering, long-range dependence, non-Gaussianity and anomalous scaling are all well-known stylized facts of financial assets return dynamics. These elements have a relevant impact on the aptness of models for the pricing of options written on financial assets. We make us of a model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081140
This paper focuses on the selection and comparison of alternative non-nested volatility models. We review the traditional in-sample methods commonly applied in the volatility framework, namely diagnostic checking procedures, information criteria, and conditions for the existence of moments and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138206