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This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our approach, based on the tests of Robinson (1994), introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the same framework (unlike earlier studies employing a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442364
This paper examines a version of the tests of Robinson (1994) that enables one to test models of the form (1-Lk)dxt = ut, where k is an integer value, d may be any real number, and ut is I(0). The most common cases are those with k = 1 (unit or fractional roots) and k = 4 and 12 (seasonal unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481456
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our approach introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the same framework (unlike earlier studies employing a sequential procedure), using a Lagrange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481459
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our approach introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the same framework, using a Lagrange Multiplier procedure with a standard null limit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481461
Recent empirical studies have argued that the temporal dependencies in "nancialmarket volatility are best characterized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475580
) incommodity futures price volatility spurious, following Granger?s conjecture? Yes,only two out of eleven commodities are ….Second, do large Index Traders such as commodity pools and pension funds increasefutures price volatility through a large volume …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009466260
We analyze exchange rate volatility in the Visegrad Four countries in the course of their abandoning tight regimes for … generalized error distribution. The overall findings are that volatility path dependence has a limited effect on exchange rate … developments and introduction of floating regimes tends to increase exchange rate volatility. During the period of flexible regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476919
areinfluenced by similar factors. In order to justify the applicability of a number of volatility modelling techniques, we also … volatility clustering, non-linearity, non-normality and asymmetry. Our results suggest that exchange rate behaviour in these … the volatility of exchange rate in these countries.We however observed that the ARCH family of models does not always …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009463509
into volatility persistence in stock returns. In part two, I show that the introduction of continuous trading on the WSE is … volatility on days after limit hits and positive autocorrelation in stock returns. I do not find significant advantages of this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009460735
The paper proposes a framework for modelling cointegration in fractionally integrated processes, and considers methods for testing the existence of cointegrating relationships using the parametric bootstrap. In these procedures, ARFIMA models are fitted to the data, and the estimates used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440950