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In this paper, we estimate, model and forecast Realized Range Volatility, a new realized measure and estimator of the …-known stylized effects present in financial data. We consider an HAR model with asymmetric effects with respect to the volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130487
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and … indices and foreign exchange rates. -- Stochastic volatility ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Metropolis-Hastings algorithm Jump …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770817
domestic volatility after good shocks but a bad hedge after crashes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003394353
volatility, the volatility feedback theory implies a channel that allows the conditional volatility to negatively affect the … expected return. We examine the effects of the risk return trade-off and the volatility feedback in a model where both the … return and its volatility are influenced by news arrivals. Our empirical analysis shows that the two effects have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107127
volatility, the volatility feedback theory implies a channel that allows the conditional volatility to negatively affect the … expected return. We examine the effects of the risk return trade-off and the volatility feedback in a model where both the … return and its volatility are influenced by news arrivals. Our empirical analysis shows that the two effects have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107156
Many empirical studies find a negative correlation between the returns on the nominal spot exchange rate and the lagged forward discount. This forward discount anomaly implies that the current forward rate is a biased predictor of the future spot rate. A large number of studies in the existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011512994
volatility (RV) of ten global stock market indices in the period from January 2000 to December 2021. We train models using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076641
The use of GARCH models with stable Paretian innovations in financial modeling has been recently suggested in the literature. This class of processes is attractive because it allows for conditional skewness and leptokurtosis of financial returns without ruling out normality. This contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765347
- 1998, namely FX-rates measured against the US dollar (USD) and the Japanese yen (JPY). Ta account for volatility e1ustering … change of the monetary policies in the US and Japan, the latter of which is followed by a long period of decreasing asset … prices. Having identified subperiods of homogeneous volatility dynamics we concentrate on stylized facts to distinguish these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616784
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263750