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Google econometrics and unemployment forecasting
Askitas, Nikolaos; Zimmermann, Klaus F. - 2009
The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269318
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Real wages and the business cycles in Germany
Marczak, Martyna; Beissinger, Thomas - 2010
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274586
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On the role of sectoral and national components in the wage bargaining process
Dreger, Christian; Reimers, Hans-Eggert - 2010
This paper provides an empirical analysis on the determination of wages at the sectoral level in main industrial economies. Nominal wages are bargained between labour unions and employers in imperfect competitive markets, where spillovers across sectors might occur. Using a principal component...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269817
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Local Economic Structure and Industry Development in Germany, 1993-2001
Blien, Uwe; Suedekum, Jens - 2004
This paper analyses the impact of dynamic MAR- and Jacobs-externalities on local employment growth in Germany between 1993 and 2001. In order to facilitate a comparison between the neighbouring countries we firstly replicate the study of Combes (2000) on local employment growth in France and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262074
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Local employment growth in West Germany: a dynamic panel approach
Blien, Uwe; Suedekum, Jens; Wolf, Katja - 2005
In this paper we study the dynamics of local employment growth in West Germany from 1980 to 2001. Using dynamic panel techniques, we analyse the timing of the impact of diversity and specialisation, as well as of the human capital structure of local industries. Diversity has a positive effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267304
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Disentangling Pay and Productivity in a Corporatist Economy: The Case of Germany
Fuess, Jr. Scott M.; Millea, Meghan - 2002
Conventional theory predicts that productivity gains lead to pay hikes. Pay increases, however, can influence labor productivity. But what about in a corporatist economy? Focusing on Germany, we use an innovative technique developed by Geweke to disentangle the relationship between pay and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273751
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Exchange Rate Volatility Effects on the German Labour Market: A Survey of Recent Results and Extensions
Buscher, Herbert S.; Mueller, Claudia - 1999
In this paper, a survey on theoretically expected and empirically proved impacts of exchange rate volatility is given …. With regard to the West German unemployment, the effects of volatility are empirically analysed using three different … volatility measures and four country groups. In autoregressive models, a significant disturbing impact of volatility can be found …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262270
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Aggregation in large dynamic panels
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Chudik, Alexander - 2011
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is potentially related to all other micro units, and where micro innovations are allowed to be cross sectionally dependent. Following Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285520
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Why does unemployment hurt the employed? Evidence from the life satisfaction gap between the public and the private sector
Luechinger, Simon; Meier, Stephan; Stutzer, Alois - 2008
High rates of unemployment entail substantial costs to the working population in terms of reduced subjective well-being. This paper studies the importance of individual economic security, in particular job security, in workers' well-being by exploiting sector-specific institutional differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010268746
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The impact of household capital income on income inequality: A factor decomposition analysis for Great Britain, Germany and the USA
Fräßdorf, Anna; Grabka, Markus M.; Schwarze, Johannes - 2008
SOEP for West Germany, and the PSID for the USA, a factor decomposition method described by Shorrocks (1982) is applied … contribution to overall inequality in relation to its share in disposable income. This applies to Germany and the USA in particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324272