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Will the (German) NAIRU please stand up?
Franz, Wolfgang - 2003
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical instrument, suitable for economic policy: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448601
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Do business-related services really lag behind manufacturing industries in the business cycle? : empirical evidence on the lead/lag relationship between business-related services a...
Kaiser, Ulrich; Voß, Katrin - 1999
In an a priori view, it is usually assumed that the business cycle of manufacturing industries leads the business cycle of the service sector. This seems to be even more plausible for the relationship between business-related services, whose high growth rates in recent years were largely due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442943
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The behaviour of noise traders : empirical evidence on purchases of business magazines
Czarnitzki, Dirk; Stadtmann, Georg - 2000
According to the prospect theory financial investors tend to sell winners too early and ride losers too long. Therefore, demand for financial advise should be high in a bull market and low in a bear market. Thus, we test the hypothesis whether the demand for business magazines is somehow related...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445202
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Voluntary giving and economic growth : time series evidence for the US
Heinemann, Friedrich - 2010
a business cycle volatility which is comparable to the moderate one of indirect taxes. However, this overall finding is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008665402
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Cost pass-through in strategic oligopoly : sectoral evidence for the EU ETS
Alexeeva-Talebi, Victoria - 2010
Price adjustments, particularly the cost pass-through relationships, are at the core of the analysis on how asymmetric climate change policy initiates two channels of carbon leakage: (decreasing) market shares and profit margins. Using advanced time-series techniques, this paper explores the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008652544
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Modeling asset returns : a comparison of theoretical and empirical models
Lüders, Erik (contributor); Schröder, Michael (contributor) - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001945539
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Modeling asset returns : a comparison of theoretical and empirical models
Lüders, Erik (contributor); Schröder, Michael (contributor) - 2004 - Rev. version
large economies, USA, United Kingdom, Germany, France and Japan. The empirical results show that although the pure NGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003670896
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International stock return predictability under model uncertainty
Schrimpf, Andreas (contributor) - 2008
This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003728591
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Regional convergence and economic performance : a case study of the West German Laender
Buscher, Herbert S.; Felder, Johannes; Steiner, Viktor - 1999
In the paper we analyze the convergence process of the West German Laender from 1970 to 1995 using descriptive tools as well as panel estimation methods. Although there have been some winners in this process, the main finding is that convergence was insufficient in the sense that no gains have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442407
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Return and volatility reactions to monthly announcements of business cycle forecasts : an event study based on high-frequency data
Entorf, Horst; Groß, Anne; Steiner, Christian - 2009
. Announcements of both institutes are also clearly and immediately reflected in the volatility, which remains at a significantly … higher level for approximately two minutes slightly elevated for approximately 15 minutes. Combining returns and volatility … in a GARCH(1,1)-model, the paper reveals that significant increases in volatility only show up in the presence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003814068