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This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation … expectations develop adaptively. The model's solution attributes an impact on inflation not to actual money growth but to its core …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295663
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over …. The results suggest that monetary indicators are still useful indicators for inflation in the euro area, but that a … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295806
Using a modified version of the model presented by Belke and Gros (2007), we analyze the stability of adjustment in a currency union. Using econometric estimates for parameter values we check the stability conditions for the 11 original EMU countries and Greece. We found significant instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003915319
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010245537
, and Belgium and Malta being the largest losers. Governments are net winners of inflation, while the household (HH) sector … Spain turn out to be net winners of inflation. Considerable heterogeneity exists also within the HH sector: relatively young … middle class HHs are net winners of inflation, while older and richer HHs are losers. As a result, wealth inequality for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010385858
Competitiveness adjustment in struggling southern euro-area members requires persistently lower inflation than in major … trading partners, but low inflation worsens public debt sustainability. When average euro-area inflation undershoots the two …, inflation and budget surplus assumptions can easily result in a runaway debt trajectory. The case for a greater than five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010197555
losses for the ECB and try to assess inflation dangers stemming from the 3Y LTROs. In the same section, we also look at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255141
Time-varying exchange rate pass-through effects to domestic prices under fixed euro exchange rate perspective represent one of the most challenging implications of the common currency. The problem is even more crucial when examining crisis related redistributive effects associated with relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456836
, and Belgium and Malta being the largest losers. Governments are net winners of inflation, while the household (HH) sector …, while HHs in Finland and Spain turn out to be net winners of inflation. Considerable heterogeneity exists also within the HH … sector: relatively young middle class HHs are net winners of inflation, while older and richer HHs are losers. As a result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490481
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507801