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We study price-setting behavior in German firm-level survey data to infer the relative importance of supply and demand during the Covid-19 pandemic. Supply and demand forces coexist, but demand shortages dominate in the short run. A reported negative impact of Covid-19 on current business is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012259571
Central bankers are raising interest rates on the assumption that wage-push inflation may lead to stagflation. This is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448558
inflation (sunspot shocks) affecting nominal wage bargaining. Since the estimated parameters fall near the locus of Hopf … bifurcations, country-specific expected inflation shocks can replicate the strong persistence and heterogeneity observed in …, choose to consume their current income. -- Unemployment fluctuations ; sunspots equilibria ; expected inflation ; wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879337
Nowcasting has been a challenge in the recent economic crisis. We introduce the Toll Index, a new monthly indicator for business cycle forecasting and demonstrate its relevance using German data. The index measures the monthly transportation activity performed by heavy transport vehicles across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009232581
chain reactions, and provides new evidence on the long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the US. It is argued that … inflation/unemployment responses to money growth shocks. SVAR (structural vector autoregression) and GMM (generalised method of … and real sides of the economy are symbiotic. In the light of the significant and robust long-run inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003878210
the PC and explain the evolution of inflation and unemployment in the US from 1970 to 2006. Since our empirical … and inflation, while the monetary expansion was quite ineffective and led mainly to higher inflation. Finally, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003879334
employment and hours affecting inflation dynamics via marginal costs. We find that the response of unemployment and inflation to … persistent movements of aggregate inflation. Moreover, the impact of a monetary policy shock on unemployment and inflation … ; matching models ; labor market search ; inflation persistence ; real wage rigidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003227218
period. The workers' bargaining power in the hours negotiation affects both unemployment volatility and inflation persistence … cost determination. This set-up produces realistic labor market statistics together with inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003824877
nominal wages by less than the inflation rate, but seldom cut nominal wages, in contrast to the predictions of the standard … individual needs to compare the inflation rate to the wage change before it becomes clear whether the change increases or … wage achieved through increasing the nominal wage by less than the inflation rate. Although emotions may benefit individual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003227217
" - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly … asserted that, in the context of the new Phillips curve (NPC), inflation is a jump variable. We argue that this "persistency … equilibrium setting (in which real variables not only affect inflation, but are also influenced by it), standard wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003531676