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This paper sets the background for the Special Issue of the Journal of Empirical Finance on the European Sovereign Debt Crisis. It identifies the channel through which risks in the financial industry leaked into the public sector. It discusses the role of the bank rescues in igniting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011588156
This paper investigates Germany's vulnerability to the ongoing Euroland crisis. In 2010-11, Germany experienced a strong rebound from the global financial crisis of 2008-09. The Euroland crisis then meant record low interest rates and a depressed euro that boosted German extra-area exports. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009757118
financial system to minimize potential contagion losses. Building on ideas from combinatorial optimization tailored to … controlling contagion in case of complete information about an interbank network, we augment the model with three plausible types … contagion losses and the policy authority's ability to control them depend on the assumed fire sale mechanism and the fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519357
the interbank market. Using a simple network structure, it shows that if there is a non-zero bailout probability, banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226037
debt crisis, elections in European countries have stronger contagion effects in their own region during a global slowdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781196
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565485
We introduce a new measure of systemic risk, the change in the conditional joint probability of default, which assesses the effects of the interdependence in the financial system on the general default risk of sovereign debtors. We apply our measure to examine the fragility of the European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226548
We propose an algorithm to model contagion in the interbank market via what we term the credit quality channel. In … existing models on contagion via interbank credit, external shocks to banks often spread to other banks only in case of a … questions. For that purpose, we propose to measure the potential cost of contagion of a given shock scenario by the aggregated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381702
Using a comprehensive dataset from German banks, we document the usage of sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) during the European sovereign debt crisis of 2008-2013. Banks used the sovereign CDS market to extend, rather than hedge, their long exposures to sovereign risk during this period....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888333
channels of pure contagion between 2008 and 2012. Further, we find that the bailout-programs for Greece, Ireland and Portugal …This paper analyzes sovereign risk contagion in the Eurozone using an extension to the canonical model for contagion … contagion in typically bounded time intervals. Controlling for changes in the risk pricing by investors, we detect several …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010222446