lenders' beliefs about the probability of bailout. Events like Lehman's collapse are conceived of as ”black swan” events that … led lenders to put a positive mass on bailout probabilities that were previously assigned zero mass.Results of the … analysis include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both …

lenders' beliefs about the probability of bailout. Events like Lehman's collapse are conceived of as "black swan" events that … led lenders to put a positive mass on bailout probabilities that were previously assigned zero mass. Results of the … analysis include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both …