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This paper revisits the Kareken-Wallace model of exchange rate formation in a two-country overlapping generations world. Following the seminal paper by Arifovic (Journal of Political Economy, 104, 1996, 510-541) we investigate a dynamic version of the model in which agents' decision rules are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295111
This paper revisits the Kareken-Wallace model of exchange rate formation in a two-country overlapping generations world. Following the seminal paper by Arifovic (Journal of Political Economy, 104, 1996, 510 – 541) we investigate a dynamic version of the model in which agents? decision rules...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295196
This note is concerned with two recent agent-based models of speculative dynamics from the literature, one by Gaunersdorfer and Hommes and the other by He and Li. At short as well as long lags, both of them display an autocorrelation structure in absolute and squared returns that comes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296307
This paper revisits the Kareken-Wallace model of exchange rate formation in a two-country overlapping generations world. Following the seminal paper by Arifovic (Journal of Political Economy, 104, 1996, 510-541) we investigate a dynamic version of the model in which agents' decision rules are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431839
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991383
We propose a continuous-time heterogeneous agent model consisting of fundamental, momentum, and contrarian traders to explain the significant time series momentum. We show that the market under-reacts in short-run and over-reacts in long-run when momentum traders dominate the market, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058173
This paper examines the main drawbacks of technical analysis. Although this is widely used by practitioners, from an academic perspective it can only be seen as a form of "voodoo finance". In particular, it runs into the following pitfalls: Subjectivity; Doubtful assumptions; Unjustified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489574
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623524
This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … the adjustment of exchange rate expectations. Our findings are robust to different forecasting horizons and point to an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532311
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787733