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We develop an agent based model of traditional banks and asset managers. Our aim is to investigate the channels of contagion of shocks to asset prices within and between the two financial sectors, including the effects of fire sales and their impact on financial institutions' balance sheets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976961
We provide a simple and tractable accounting-based stress-testing framework to assess loss dynamics in the banking sector, in a context of leverage targeting. Contagion can occur through direct interbank exposures, and indirect exposures due to overlapping portfolios with the associated price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012384482
We explore the evolution of daily returns of four major US stock market indices during the technology crash of 2000, and the financial crisis of 2007-2009. Our methodology is based on topological data analysis (TDA). We use persistence homology to detect and quantify topological patterns that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934482
A new algorithm for calibrating agent-based models is proposed, which employs a popular gradient boosting framework. Machine learning techniques are not used to develop a surrogate model, but rather assist in narrowing down the parameter space during the search for optimal parameters. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839291
In order to verify the effects of machine learning in a market structure, an evolutionary model containing firms that use a genetic algorithm to decide their investment in innovative R&D was developed. These firms share the market, with two other types of firms, those with a fixed rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307281
The present article deals with intra-horizon risk in models with jumps. Our general understanding of intra-horizon risk is along the lines of the approach taken in [BRSW04], [Ro08], [BMK09], [BP10], and [LV19]. In particular, we believe that quantifying market risk by strictly relying on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179511
We put forward a Merton-type multi-factor portfolio model for assessing banks’ contributions to systemic risk. This model accounts for the major drivers of banks’ systemic relevance: size, default risk and correlation of banks’ assets as a proxy for interconnectedness. We measure systemic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011220
We develop scenario-based stochastic programming models for hedging the risks of international portfolios using options. The models provide an increasing level of integration in managing market and foreign exchange (FX) risks. We start with a single-stage model with currency options for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924570
In a context of an ever-changing regulatory environment over the last years, Banks have witnessed the draft and publication of several regulatory guidelines and requirements in order to frame and structure their internal Risk Management.Among these guidelines, one has been specifically designed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919835
We present the framework for a distressed bond model. The utility is as a proxy for calculating the risk of a distressed bond portfolio. We elaborate several possible implementations and give an example
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987069