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History Repeating: Spain Beats Germany in the EURO 2012 Final
Zeileis, Achim; Leitner, Christoph; Hornik, Kurt - Institut für Finanzwissenschaft, Fakultät für … - 2012
bookmaker consensus rating - obtained by aggregating winning odds from 23 online bookmakers - the forecast winning probability … Netherlands are in third place with a predicted 11.3%). Furthermore, by complementing the bookmaker consensus results with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548978
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Probabilistic forecasts for the 2018 FIFA World Cup based on the bookmaker consensus model
Zeileis, Achim; Leitner, Christoph; Hornik, Kurt - 2018
. 32 of the best teams from 5 confederations compete to determine the new World Champion. Using a consensus model based on … probabilities above 10%: Spain and France with 12.5% and 12.1%, respectively. The results from this bookmaker consensus model are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011930746
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Home victory for Brazil in the 2014 FIFA World Cup
Zeileis, Achim; Leitner, Christoph; Hornik, Kurt - 2014
a bookmaker consensus rating - obtained by aggregating winning odds from 22 online bookmakers - the clear favorite is … predicted 4.8%. Furthermore, by complementing the bookmaker consensus results with simulations of the whole tournament …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397162
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Predictive bookmaker consensus model for the UEFA Euro 2016
Zeileis, Achim; Leitner, Christoph; Hornik, Kurt - 2016
with England (9.2%) and Belgium (7.7%) being the "best of the rest". Furthermore, by complementing the bookmaker consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531592
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Home victory for Brazil in the 2014 FIFA World Cup
Zeileis, Achim; Leitner, Christoph; Hornik, Kurt - 2014
a bookmaker consensus rating - obtained by aggregating winning odds from 22 online bookmakers - the clear favorite is … predicted 4.8%. Furthermore, by complementing the bookmaker consensus results with simulations of the whole tournament …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356725
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Predictive bookmaker consensus model for the UEFA Euro 2016
Zeileis, Achim; Leitner, Christoph; Hornik, Kurt - 2016
with England (9.2%) and Belgium (7.7%) being the "best of the rest". Furthermore, by complementing the bookmaker consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475080
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Probabilistic forecasts for the 2018 FIFA World cup based on the bookmaker consensus model
Zeileis, Achim; Leitner, Christoph; Hornik, Kurt - 2018
. 32 of the best teams from 5 confederations compete to determine the new World Champion. Using a consensus model based on … probabilities above 10%: Spain and France with 12.5% and 12.1%, respectively. The results from this bookmaker consensus model are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011875695
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Home Victory for Brazil in the 2014 FIFA World Cup
Zeileis, Achim; Leitner, Christoph; Hornik, Kurt - Institut für Finanzwissenschaft, Fakultät für … - 2014
a bookmaker consensus rating - obtained by aggregating winning odds from 22 online bookmakers - the clear favorite is … predicted 4.8%. Furthermore, by complementing the bookmaker consensus results with simulations of the whole tournament …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010839572
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History repeating : Spain beats Germany in the EURO 2012 final
Zeileis, Achim; Leitner, Christoph; Hornik, Kurt - 2012
whereas this year the situation is reversed. -- consensus ; agreement ; bookmakers odds ; sports tournaments ; EURO 2012 … bookmaker consensus rating - obtained by aggregating winning odds from 23 online bookmakers - the forecast winning probability … Netherlands are in third place with a predicted 11.3%). Furthermore, by complementing the bookmaker consensus results with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009742081
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An Inflation Expectations Horserace
Guzman, Giselle - 2012
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110892