Showing 1 - 10 of 297
In commodity and energy markets swing options allow the buyer to hedge against futures price fluctuations and to select its preferred delivery strategy within daily or periodic constraints, possibly fixed by observing quoted futures contracts. In this paper we focus on the natural gas market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843233
We consider a seasonal mean-reverting model for energy commodity prices with jumps and Heston-type stochastic volatility, as well as three nested models for comparison. By exploiting the affine form of the log-spot models, we develop a general valuation framework for futures and discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904822
We present a stochastic-local volatility model for derivative contracts on commodity futures able to describe forward-curve and smile dynamics with a fast calibration to liquid market quotes. A parsimonious parametrization is introduced to deal with the limited number of options quoted in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851488
In this paper we propose a stochastic volatility model for crude oil markets that has the particularity to feature a regime-switching price of variance-risk. While preserving tractability, this model allows us to capture the episodes of negative and positive variance risk premium. A two-state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307498
This paper analyses the attributes and the significance of the roughness of oil market volatility. We employ unspanned stochastic volatility models driven by rough Brownian motions that yield semi-analytical prices for futures options entailing efficient calibration applications. By performing a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260238
In this work we perform a pricing exercise of different types of spread options; we particularly focus on European calendar and crack spread options. We present the expressions followed by the joint characteristic functions of the underlying log-prices for a panel of bivariate processes. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404951
Recent academic studies have shown that since the mid-nineties, the pass-through of exogenous oil shocks into headline inflation has been increasing while the pass through into core inflation seems to have ceased. This paper explores the implications in terms of commodity allocation for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091277
Three models of trading on the electricity commodity exchange are presented, where the market clearing price is based on the weighted average value of the proposed goods. The models make it possible to estimate the prices of the goods offered for sale on the basis of two parameters; the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237561
The electricity commodity exchange is a place where you can sell and buy, among other things, electricity. Is the sale free from profit-generating activities that have no relation to the production costs incurred ? Here, we suggest a mathematical model that tracks this type of the non-ethical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030287
In this study, we investigate the existence of long-term co-movements among the prices of commodity futures contracts. We use a cointegration test, which accounts for the presence of a structural break. We show that while there is a long-term relationship among agricultural and among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010492392