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empirical strategy to test whether oligopolistic frms use forward contracts for strategic motives, for risk-hedging, or for both …. An increase in the number of players weakens the incentives to sell forward for risk-hedging reasons.However, if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380799
time as a shortage in production volume cannot be compensated with supply from inventories. However, if the installed power … supply capacity is very flexible, variation in demand can be counterbalanced with flexible adjustment of production volumes …. Therefore, supply flexibility can replace the role of inventory. In this paper, we question whether power production flexibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381018
High and volatile prices of major commodities have generated a wide array of analyses and policy prescriptions, including influential studies identifying price bubbles in periods of high volatility. Here we consider a model of the market for a storable commodity in which price expectations are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082152
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000915617
We use variance decompositions from high-dimensional vector autoregressions to characterize connectedness in 19 key commodity return volatilities, 2011-2016. We study both static (full-sample) and dynamic (rolling-sample) connectedness. We summarize and visualize the results using tools from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949432
This paper analyzes the joint responses of commodity futures prices and traders' futures positions to changes in the VIX before and after the recent financial crisis. We find that while financial traders accommodate the needs of commercial hedgers in normal times, in times of distress, financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108607
speculators are capital constrained, and commodity producers have hedging demands for commodity futures. Increases (decreases) in … producers' hedging demand (speculators' risk-capacity) increase hedging costs via price-pressure on futures, reduce producers … associated with producer hedging demand rises when speculative activity reduces. We conclude that limits to financial arbitrage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128612
This paper uses a dynamic optimization model to estimate the welfare gains of hedging against commodity price risk for … commodity-exporting countries. We show that the introduction of hedging instruments such as futures and options enhances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150436
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191274
This paper examines the relationship between spot and futures prices for a broad range of commodities, including energy, precious and base metals, and agricultural commodities. In particular, we examine whether futures prices are (1) an unbiased and/or (2) accurate predictor of subsequent spot...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146511